Baseline Forecast
Yield slate: Refinery configuration — not demand — sets the petrol/diesel/jet/other split of each barrel. The mix-shift slider in the side panel models where on the gasoline-heavy ↔ distillate-heavy axis the world's refineries sit on average; the slate is applied uniformly to all refineries. Refineries also shut entirely below a utilisation threshold rather than running at partial capacity.

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Output Mix

Refineries flex along one main axis: gasoline-heavy (Western FCC-dominant) vs distillate-heavy (Asian hydrocracker). Adjust to shift the four-product yield slate. Applied uniformly to all refineries.

Mix shift Balanced
Gasoline Distillate
Petrol Diesel Jet Other

Aggregate Impact

Refineries
Total capacity
Baseline intake
Short-run intake
Long-run intake

Refineries

Sources